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The author then takes the first of a number of ruminative breathers, speculating on the button. The Romans used buttons only as ornaments and even the ancient Chinese never progressed beyond the toggle and loop. Unlike the handsaw, which was refined over time, the button and its buttonhole simply appeared in northern Europe in the thirteenth century--true works of an anonymous inventive genius. Then we proceed to an influential treatise on ingenious machines published in 1588 by Agostino Ramelli, a military engineer. Among the machines is a bookstand that revolves like a Ferris wheel, holding eight books at a constant angle by means of a gearing system used in astronomical clocks. The author comments: "Of course, gravity would have done the job equally well (as it does in a Ferris wheel), but the gearing system allowed Ramelli to demonstrate his considerable skill as a mathematician." Then the author writes: "This splendid folly distracts me-I''m supposed to be looking for screwdrivers." Standard machine sales have typically been in the 30,000 unit range in good years. Sales have been declining since 1999 when they peaked during the last business cycle. In 2002, final sales ranged near 20,500 units, down over 35 percent in three years. For the compact backhoes, still only a fraction of the bigger machine sales yearly, demand in 2002 declined below the 5000-unit level, down about 25 percent from the peak achieved in 1999.
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